The Joint Typhoon Warning Center of the United States Navy said in a forecast Tuesday morning that the next cyclone approaching the Philippines could have peak near-center winds of 130 knots and gusts of 160 knots when it hits the country late Thursday or early Friday.
GMA News’ resident meteorologist Nathaniel Cruz shared with GMA News Online on Tuesday that as early as now, disaster preparedness officials must advise residents of Bicol and Eastern Visayas that Haiyan could hit their areas at typhoon strength at the very least.
Nathaniel Cruz explained that the typhoon forecast must be continually updated to take account of changing conditions, so that areas in the path of cyclone will be properly advised with the right information.
Earlier Tuesday, PAGASA forecaster Fernando Cada said Haiyan is moving westward at 20 kph and may make landfall over Eastern Visayas or Bicol.
Once Haiyan enters the Philippine Area of Responsibility, it will be codenamed Yolanda.
It may then affect the Samar provinces and possibly Bicol, Cada added.
Weather forecasters have advised residents of the Bicol and Eastern Visayas regions to prepare for a cyclone approaching from the east that may have the makings of a super typhoon.
The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) defines a “super typhoon” as having maximum sustained winds of 234 kph or more.
The US Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) said Tuesday morning that the cyclone, internationally codenamed Haiyan, may grow progressively more powerful until at least Nov. 7, Thursday.
On Tuesday morning CNN made a forecast that Haiyan could be at super typhoon strength by the time it strikes the central Philippines. The CNN forecast said the super typhoon could hit the Bicol region.
Cada said the cyclone may also affect Mimaropa (Occidental Mindoro, Oriental Mindoro, Marinduque, Romblon and Palawan) Thursday or Friday.