SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #15
FOR: TROPICAL STORM #MarcePH (TOKAGE)
TROPICAL CYCLONE: WARNING
ISSUED AT 11:00 AM, 25 November 2016
TS “Marce” has maintaned its strength and is now off the western coast of Northern Antique.
•Estimated rainfall amount is from moderate to heavy within the 300 km diameter of the tropical storm.
•Residents of areas under TCWS #2 & #1 and the rest of Bicol region, CALABARZON and the province of Marinduque and Aurora are alerted against possible flashfloods and landslides.
•Sea travel is risky over the northern and eastern seaboards of Northern Luzon and the seaboards of Central and Southern Luzon.
•Expected to exit PAR by Sunday late morning or afternoon (Nov. 27)
•Tropical Cyclone Warning Signals elsewhere are now lifted.
Location of eye/center: At 10:00 AM today, the center of Tropical Storm “MARCE” was estimated based on all available data at 90 km West Southwest of Roxas City, Capiz(11.3°N, 122.0°E).
Strength: Maximum sustained winds of up to 65 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 110 kph.
Forecast Movement: Forecast to move West Northwest at 22 kph.
•24 Hour( Tomorrow morning): 240 km West Southwest of Subic, Olongapo(13.7°N, 118.4°E)
•48 Hour(Sunday morning):495 km West of Iba, Zambales (OUTSIDE PAR)(15.9°N, 115.4°E)
•72 Hour(Monday morning): 675 km North Northwest of Pagasa Island, Palawan (OUTSIDE PAR)(16.6°N, 111.7°E).
TCWS #2(61-120 kph Expected in 24 hours).
Luzon: Romblon, Calamian Group of Islands, Southern Occidental Mindoro and Southern Oriental Mindoro.
Visayas: Iloilo, Capiz, Aklan and Northern Antique.
Impacts of the wind:
•Light to Moderate damage to high risk structures;
•Very light to light damage to medium-risk structures;
•No damage to very light damage to low risk structures
•Unshielded, old dilapidated schoolhouses, makeshift shanties, and other structures of light materials are partially damaged or unroofed.
•A number of nipa and cogon houses may be partially or totally unroofed.
•Some old galvanized iron (G.I.) roofs may be peeled or blown off.
•Some wooden, old electric posts are tilted or downed.
•Some damage to poorly constructed signs/billboards
•In general, the winds may bring light to moderate damage to the exposed communities. Most banana plants, a few mango trees, ipil-ipil and similar types of trees are downed or broken.
•Some coconut trees may be tilted with few others broken.
•Rice and corn may be adversely affected.
•Considerable damage to shrubbery and trees with some heavy-foliaged trees blown down.
Wave Height: (Open Sea) 4.1-14.0 meters.
Storm surge possible at coastal areas.
TCWS #1 (30-60 kph Expected in 36 hours)
Luzon: Northern Palawan including Cuyo Island, Rest of Oriental Mindoro, Rest of Occidental Mindoro including Lubang Island and Masbate including Burias and Ticao Island.
Visayas: Negros Occidental, Rest of Antique and Guimaras.
Impacts of the wind:
•Very light or no damage to low risk structures,
•Light damage to medium to high risk structures
•Slight damage to some houses of very light materials or makeshift structures in exposed communities. Some banana plants are tilted, a few downed and leaves are generally damaged
•Twigs of small trees may be broken.
•Rice crops, however, may suffer significant damage when it is in its flowering stage.
Wave Height: (Open Sea) 1.25-4.0 meters.
The public and the disaster risk reduction and management council concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next weather bulletin to be issued at 2 PM today.