SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #5
FOR: TYPHOON “#LawinPH” (HAIMA)
TROPICAL CYCLONE: WARNING
ISSUED AT 5:00 PM, 18 October 2016
(Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin to be issued at 11 PM today)
“LAWIN” MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH AND SPEED AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARDS NORTHERN LUZON.
•Estimated rainfall amount is from moderate to heavy within the 650 km diameter of the Typhoon.
•Expected to intensify further before making landfall.
•Expected to make landfall over Cagayan Area by Thursday early morning (Oct. 20) then will cross Apayao and Ilocos Norte.
•Possible exit PAR on Friday early morning (Oct. 21).
•Sea travel is risky over the eastern seaboard of Southern Luzon and the northern and eastern seaboards of Samar.
Location of eye/center: At 4:00 PM today, the eye of Typhoon “LAWIN” was located based on all available data at 930 km East of Tayabas, Quezon(15.4°N, 130.1°E).
Strength: Maximum sustained winds of up to 185 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 230 kph.
Forecast Movement : Forecast to move West Northwest at 25 kph.
•24 Hour( Tomorrow afternoon): 330 km East of Casiguran, Aurora (16.4 ºN, 125.2 ºE)
•48 Hour(Thursday afternoon):95 km Northwest of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte (18.7 ºN, 119.9 ºE)
•72 Hour(Friday afternoon): 565 km Northwest of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte (OUTSIDE PAR)
(21.5 ºN, 116.5 ºE)
•96 Hour(Saturday afternoon):735 km Northwest of Basco, Batanes (OUTSIDE PAR) (25.8 ºN, 117.8 ºE)
•120 Hour(Sunday afternoon):790 km North of Basco, Batanes (OUTSIDE PAR) (27.5 ºN, 122.5 ºE)
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING SIGNAL
TCWS 1 (30-60 kph Expected in 36 hours):
Ilocos Norte, Apayao, Cagayan including Calayan group of Islands, Batanes group of Islands, Isabela, Kalinga, Abra, Ilocos Sur, Mt. Province, Ifugao, Quirino, Nueva Vizcaya, Benguet, La Union, Aurora, Nueva Ecija, Pangasinan, Catanduanes and Polillo Islands
Impacts of the wind:
•Very light or no damage to low risk structures,
•Light damage to medium to high risk structures
•Slight damage to some houses of very light materials or makeshift structures in exposed communities. Some banana plants are tilted, a few downed and leaves are generally damaged
•Twigs of small trees may be broken.
•Rice crops, however, may suffer significant damage when it is in its flowering stage.
Wave Height: (Open Sea) 1.25-4.0 meters
The public and the disaster risk reduction and management council concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next weather bulletin to be issued at 11 PM today.