BAGYO “MARCE” CONTINUES TO TRACK WEST NORTHWEST HEADING TOWARDS CALAMIAN GROUP OF ISLANDS.

SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #16
FOR: TROPICAL STORM “#MarcePH” (TOKAGE)
TROPICAL CYCLONE: WARNING

ISSUED AT 2:00 PM, 25 November 2016
(Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin to be issued at 5 PM today)

“MARCE” CONTINUES TO TRACK WEST NORTHWEST HEADING TOWARDS CALAMIAN GROUP OF ISLANDS.

• Estimated rainfall amount is from moderate to heavy within the 300 km diameter of the tropical storm.
• Residents of areas under TCWS #2 & #1 and the rest of Bicol region, CALABARZON and the province of Marinduque and Aurora are alerted against possible flashfloods and landslides.
• Sea travel is risky over the northern and eastern seaboards of Northern Luzon and the seaboards of Central and Southern Luzon.
• Expected to exit PAR by Sunday late morning or afternoon (Nov. 27)
• Tropical Cyclone Warning Signals elsewhere are now lifted.
Location of eye/center: At 1:00 PM today, the center of Tropical Storm “MARCE” was estimated based on all available data at 85 km North Northeast of Cuyo, Palawan(11.5°N, 121.4°E).

Strength: Maximum sustained winds of up to 65 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 100 kph.

Forecast Movement : Forecast to move West Northwest at 22 kph.

Forecast Positions:
• 24 Hour( Tomorrow morning): 325 km Southwest of Iba, Zambales(13.7°N, 117.5°E)
• 48 Hour(Sunday morning):550 km West Northwest of Iba, Zambales (OUTSIDE PAR)(16.4°N, 115.0°E)
• 72 Hour(Monday morning): 755 km North Northwest of Pagasa Island, Palawan (OUTSIDE PAR)(17.0°N, 110.9°E)

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING SIGNAL

TCWS 2 (61-120 kph Expected in 24 hours):

Luzon: Calamian group of Islands, Cuyo Island, Southern Occidental Mindoro and Southern Oriental Mindoro.

Visayas: Aklan and Northern part of Antique

Impacts of the wind:
• Light to Moderate damage to high risk structures;
• Very light to light damage to medium-risk structures;
• No damage to very light damage to low risk structures
• Unshielded, old dilapidated schoolhouses, makeshift shanties, and other structures of light materials are partially damaged or unroofed.
• A number of nipa and cogon houses may be partially or totally unroofed.
• Some old galvanized iron (G.I.) roofs may be peeled or blown off.
• Some wooden, old electric posts are tilted or downed.
• Some damage to poorly constructed signs/billboards
• In general, the winds may bring light to moderate damage to the exposed communities. Most banana plants, a few mango trees, ipil-ipil and similar types of trees are downed or broken.
• Some coconut trees may be tilted with few others broken.
• Rice and corn may be adversely affected.
• Considerable damage to shrubbery and trees with some heavy-foliaged trees blown down.

Wave Height: (Open Sea) 4.1-14.0 meters
Storm surge possible at coastal areas

TCWS 1 (30-60 kph Expected in 36 hours):

Luzon: Rest of Occidental Mindoro and Rest of Oriental Mindoro, Northern Palawan and Romblon.

Visayas: Guimaras, Capiz, Iloilo, Rest of Antique

Impacts of the wind:
• Very light or no damage to low risk structures,
• Light damage to medium to high risk structures
• Slight damage to some houses of very light materials or makeshift structures in exposed communities. Some banana plants are tilted, a few downed and leaves are generally damaged
• Twigs of small trees may be broken.
• Rice crops, however, may suffer significant damage when it is in its flowering stage.

Wave Height: (Open Sea) 1.25-4.0 meters

The public and the disaster risk reduction and management council concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next weather bulletin to be issued at 5 PM today.

 

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